Blog Stories Two Reasons Why Waiting a Year To Buy Could Cost You

Two Reasons Why Waiting a Year To Buy Could Cost You

By Chad Brackett, September 24, 2021

If you’re a renter with a desire to become a homeowner, or a homeowner who’s decided your current house no longer fits your needs, you may be hoping that waiting a year might mean better market conditions to purchase a home.

To determine if you should buy now or wait, you need to ask yourself two simple questions:

  1. What will home prices be like in 2022?
  2. Where will mortgage rates be by the end of 2022?

Let’s shed some light on the answers to both of these questions.

What will home prices be like in 2022?

Three major housing industry entities project continued home price appreciation for 2022. Here are their forecasts:

  • Freddie Mac: 5.3%
  • Fannie Mae: 5.1%
  • Mortgage Bankers Association: 8.4%

Using the average of the three projections (6.27%), a home that sells for $350,000 today would be valued at $371,945 by the end of next year. That means, if you delay, it could cost you more. As a prospective buyer, you could pay an additional $21,945 if you wait.

Where will mortgage rates be by the end of 2022?

Today, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is hovering near historic lows. However, most experts believe rates will rise as the economy continues to recover. Here are the forecasts for the fourth quarter of 2022 by the three major entities mentioned above:

  • Freddie Mac: 3.8%
  • Fannie Mae: 3.2%
  • Mortgage Bankers Association: 4.2%

That averages out to 3.7% if you include all three forecasts, and it’s nearly a full percentage point higher than today’s rates. Any increase in mortgage rates will increase your cost.

What does it mean for you if both home values and mortgage rates rise?

You’ll pay more in mortgage payments each month if both variables increase. Let’s assume you purchase a $350,000 home this year with a 30-year fixed-rate loan at 2.86% after making a 10% down payment. According to the mortgage calculator from Smart Asset, your monthly mortgage payment (including principal and interest payments, and estimated home insurance, taxes in your area, and other fees) would be approximately $1,899.

That same home could cost $371,945 by the end of 2022, and the mortgage rate could be 3.7% (based on the industry forecasts mentioned above). Your monthly mortgage payment, after putting down 10%, would increase to $2,166.Two Reasons Why Waiting a Year To Buy Could Cost You | MyKCMThe difference in your monthly mortgage payment would be $267. That’s $3,204 more per year and $96,120 over the life of the loan.

If you consider that purchasing now will also let you take advantage of the equity you’ll build up over the next calendar year, which is approximately $22,000 for a house with a similar value, then the total net worth increase you could gain from buying this year is over $118,000.

Bottom Line

When asking if you should buy a home, you probably think of the non-financial benefits of owning a home as a driving motivator. When asking when to buy, the financial benefits make it clear that doing so now is much more advantageous than waiting until next year.

Chad Brackett

Principal Broker | ADU Specialist | OR & WA

He/Him

Movin' and shakin'... Do you need to buy?  Do you need to sell?  Is moving in your future?  Then let’s talk.  Chad is a Principal Broker, licensed in both Oregon and Washington.  Chad's career has afforded him the opportunity to live in 13 different states across the United States while buying and selling more than 15 homes and investment properties including most recently in the Piedmont neighborhood in Portland.  Originally from a suburb of the Atlanta, Georgia, Chad moved to Portland in 2017 after spending two years in the Bay Area where he started his real estate career.  Chad is a Northwestern at heart.  “I love everything about Portland.  The people, the topography and climate, it is the best place I have live.  From the mountains to the coast, there is just so much for my family to do.”  Chad understands first-hand the challenges with not only buying and selling homes but also understands how to help anyone navigate the moving process.  His previous experiences will be an invaluable resource to you throughout your real estate transaction.  Chad is committed to quality, integrity, professionalism and excellent service when you enlist his services. Prior to beginning his real estate career, Chad had a successful 30-year retail career in sales and operational support for divisions of large organizations like L'Oreal and Limited Brands amongst others. Chad is extremely detail oriented and will utilize his strategic planning, analysis and innovative approach to ensure that you are completely informed throughout the real estate transaction and achieve your desired goals.  He has provided support, training and leadership to thousands of employees and has been a key contributor for hundreds of millions in annual sales volume. If a commitment to service and being the #1 priority is important to you, then contact Chad.
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  • T: 503-389-0685
  • F: 503-961-8224
  • chadbrackett@livingroomre.com

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