The real estate market has picked a direction. And that direction is… sideways. like the rain today.
And despite everything happening in the broader economy: higher rates, inflation fatigue, general existential dread… people are still moving, buying and selling.
Why? Because housing isn’t optional. Life keeps happening whether mortgage rates are on board with our retirement goals or not.
People are clearly out here real-estating again across both Portland Metro & SW Washington
Activity is up. Listings are up. Sales are up. That’s the good news! But prices? They’ve cooled off, like that 2nd cup of coffee I just had to have.
For my buyers out there:
You have something rare; leverage without chaos.
- You can negotiate again
- You can ask for repairs without it being treated as a deeply offensive suggestion
- You might even get a second showing or some time to sleep on it (but like, short sleep)
So don’t get too comfortable. Inventory is still tight enough that good homes move fast.
For my sellers in the house:
The market is still on your side… just not blindly.
- Pricing correctly matters more than ever
- Condition matters more than ever
- Marketing actually matters again (more than ever)
You’re not competing with no one anymore. You’re competing with the house down the street that actually prepped for market.
Listen, we’re not booming and we’re not crashing.
We’re “re-calibrating”
The market has shifted from irrational urgency to cautious participation. Honestly, it’s healthier, even if it is less fun. And basically, the “perfect” moment doesn’t exist, but if you’re looking for a strategic moment, this might quietly be one of the better windows we’ve had in years.
Here are the market highlights:
- Portland Metro prices are down slightly year-over-year
- SW Washington prices are still climbing modestly
- Inventory is hovering around 3 months in both markets
- Strategy > perfection
In other words, we’re in that awkward middle phase where neither buyers nor sellers feel fully in control.
👇 Here’s the breakdown of the latest RMLS March Market Action Report 👇
Portland Metro
More movement, less (price) momentum.
Buyers are showing up again, but they’re not overpaying just to feel something. Sellers are still adjusting to the idea that 2021 pricing is not a thing.
- New listings: +2.7% YoY
- Pending sales: +5.5% YoY
- Closed sales: +11.0% YoY
- Median price: down ~2.8% year-to-date
Inventory at 3.0 months and ~79 days on market means homes are selling, just not instantly. Pricing strategy matters again. I know, devastating.
SW Washington
Meanwhile, across the river, SW Washington is doing its usual thing, quietly outperforming.
A healthier growth story than Portland, with continued demand and slightly more upward price pressure. Clark County continues to benefit from the same equation it always has: relative affordability + tax advantages + proximity to Portland. Not new, but still working.
- New listings: +9.7% YoY
- Pending sales: +6.0% YoY
- Closed sales: +15.8% YoY
- Median price: up ~3.8% year-to-date
Inventory is also sitting at 3.0 months, but with a slightly faster pace at 76 days on market. Not exactly a feeding frenzy, but definitely not Celestial Seasonings Sleepytime Tea.
If you’ve been watching from the sidelines and wondering “is now the time?” let’s talk it through. No presh.
Oh and hey, I forgot to tell you I got my braces off in August…. so we can eat salad together again 😬



































































































Back in 2011 I met one of my very favorite buyers ever, Mel. She worked with the Portland Housing Center and had $9,000 to from a matched savings account through Portland Housing Center. She used that $9,000 for a 5% downpayment on an oh so very vintage 760 sf 1920’s bungalow in Arbor Lodge that she bought for $180,000.



































My buyer Theo wins the award for the single most expensive repair I have negotiated for a buyer. Theo was a first time buyer who was referred to me by a past client of mine who they work with. We met up on a chilly fall evening to talk about what they were looking for in a house and get the process started. Within a couple of days, Theo had their pre-approval letter in hand and we were ready to go. I sent them all of the available homes within the geographic boundaries, price range and features they were looking for. The list wasn’t very long and out of all of them, only 2 houses piqued their interest. We went to see one in NE, and that was a no-go. The second house we saw was bright blue 1920’s bungalow in the Brooklyn neighborhood. It had been on the market for about a month and had one sale fail. The home was lovely with a gigantic newly remodeled kitchen and a large upstairs bedroom with room to add a bathroom. The basement was decent enough with lots of windows and good ceiling height- a great candidate for future finishing. Theo slept on it and the next morning let me know they wanted to write on it. We put together a great offer and boom- got it accepted.


Sarah and Tariq contacted me in early August after being referred to me by one of my favorite lenders. They used to live in Portland, and had moved to Los Angeles for work, and were now being transferred back to Portland. They were moving to Portland in mid-November, so they came to Portland in mid-October to find a home. Before they arrived, we had a flurry of emails back and forth narrowing down homes they wanted to see. They seemed to really hone in on mid-centuries and when we came up with our list of homes to see over the next few days, the majority were mid-centuries. They arrived on a Thursday evening, and we hit the ground running on Friday morning. We saw around 12 houses together over the next couple of days, and they saw even more homes on their own visiting open houses.






My buyers Annie and Ben were referred to me by one of the great lenders at Portland Housing Center. They were first time home buyers and during our meeting when we met to discuss their plan and get a feel to see if we would be a good fit to work together, we talked about the ideal house for them. They had a really clear idea of exactly what they were looking for and where they wanted to buy. Ben works in Vancouver and Annie works on the inner east side so their ideal house would be in North Portland in Kenton or near I-5. They also wanted something with vintage charm- preferably mid-century, and in good shape that would be easy to maintain. They also wanted a yard and their budget was $400k tops. They were still interviewing agents when a couple of days after we met, I got an email from my wonderful colleague Martin Cross here at Living Room with info on an open house a great listing of his in Kenton was having the next day. On paper that house seemed to meet all the criteria that Annie and Ben had, so I forwarded the email along to them. They responded that indeed, the house looked like it was great and they could tell I had a really good sense of what they were looking for, and that sealed the deal for us working together.









































































































































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Four years ago I helped my client Matteo purchase his first home in Portland in Rose City Park after he recently moved to Portland from New Orleans. As an artist and stylist, he has a habit of buying and renovating homes, using his house as a palette for his talents. After four years living in his Rose City Park home, he was ready for a larger home with adequate studio space and further east to be closer to his job as a paintings teacher. He loves mid-centuries and we spent a few months looking at possibilities. He came so close to putting an offer on a home with a pool in Ventura Park, but decided at the last minute that he was basically buying a pool that came with a house, rather than the other way around.






























If there is one part of the Portland market that’s not hot right now, it’s condos downtown and in the Pearl District. The Covid buying frenzy really focused on detached single family homes with yards. Communal living where you have to walk into an enclosed building and then take an elevator to your front door was the exact opposite of what the majority of buyers have wanted over the last year and a half. So for those folks who DO want to own a condo in the Pearl, the neighborhood is a pool full of fat oysters where buyers can take a while to look around be picky about what type of unit they want.





Congratulations to my clients Rachael and Zak who just closed on closed on this blue mod skinny in Portsmouth! From the outside it appears to have a similar interior layout as the other 1,000 skinnies, but what sets this one apart is the nearly 20 foot tall ceilings in the living room. The design on this house has the 3 bedrooms upstairs, but the living room is opened up so that the upstairs hallway overlooks the living room. Because of this design, the light in this house is incredible. Rachael and Zak knew they wanted a house that didn’t need any work and had at least a small private yard, and this house is all that and more.
